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Identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10086/30489

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Title
Does visible shock update firms' unrelated trade diversity in anticipation of future shock? Evidence from the Great East Japan Earthquake and expected Nankai Trough Earthquake
Creator
Creator Name
Takano, Keisuke Takano, Keisuke
Affiliation
Affiliation Name
University of Tsukuba
Affiliation
Affiliation Name
Hitotsubashi University
Editor
Contributor Name
TDB-CAREE (Graduate School of Economics Hitotsubashi University Teikoku Databank Center for Advanced Empirical Research on Enterprise and Economy)
Key Word
Interregional trade
Supply chain
Disaster risk
Spatial pattern
Diversity
JEL
R11
R12
Q54
Abstract
This paper investigates empirically the interrelationship between the update of risk perception of expected disaster through the actual disaster damage and the change in the spatial distribution of inter-firm transactional networks (supply chains) around the hazardous area of the expected Nankai Trough Earthquake after the Great East Japan Earthquake from 2009 to 2017. By adopting the propensity score matching and the difference-in-difference (-indifferences) method, this study estimates the effects of tsunami damage on the magnitude of the spatial dispersion of the supply chain network stemmed from risk perception. The results show that the existence of suppliers in the Nankai Trough area per se did not or marginally lead to the supply chain dispersion regardless of the size of firms, while the supply chains of medium-size firms who had suppliers in both the Nankai Trough area and the damaged area of the Great East Japan Earthquake was spatially dispersed after 2011.
Publisher
Graduate School of Economics Hitotsubashi University Teikoku Databank Center for Advanced Empirical Research on Enterprise and Economy
Issued Date
2019-06
Language
English(eng)
Resource Type
technical report
Version Type
VoR
Is Part OfRelation -
Related Title
TDB-CAREE Discussion Paper Series ; No. E-2019-01
Relation
Related Identifier
URI
  http://www7.econ.hit-u.ac.jp/tdb-caree/index.html
Number of Pages
37
Sponsorship
Teikoku DataBank
This research was partly supported by JSPS KAKENHI Grant Number 18J20392.
Appears in Collections
TDB-CAREE Discussion Paper Series
URL
https://hdl.handle.net/10086/30489